Memory ETFs: DRAM vs HBMX — Not Which to Buy, but What Each One Holds
Memory ETFs: DRAM vs HBMX — Not Which to Buy, but What Each One Holds
If you'd rather not manage ten tickers
Tracking the entire memory supply chain name by name is, frankly, a chore. Holding ten tickers and rebalancing isn't for everyone. So there are two ETFs people always ask about: Roundhill's memory ETF, DRAM, and a brand-new fund called HBMX.
Most people ask which one to pick. To me, that's the wrong question — because these two cover completely different parts of the same machine.
DRAM buys you the makers
The DRAM ETF holds only the companies that make memory — names like Micron, SK Hynix, and Samsung. There's not a single supplier among them.
This is a pure maker bet. It gives you direct exposure to whoever holds pricing power in the HBM supercycle, so it reacts most sharply when the cycle turns up. The flip side: memory is cyclical by nature, so concentrating on makers means you carry that volatility too.
HBMX blends makers with the supply chain
HBMX does a bit of both. It owns the makers but also reaches down into the supplier stack — the equipment, the packaging, the materials.
So HBMX captures part of the makers' upside while spreading risk toward the supply chain that collects a toll no matter which maker wins. In my view, that's a more balanced picture for an investor trying to dampen single-cycle volatility.
The two ETFs side by side
| Item | DRAM | HBMX |
|---|---|---|
| Holds | Makers only (Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung, etc.) | Makers + supply chain (equipment, packaging, materials) |
| Exposure type | Pure maker bet | Blend of the whole stack |
| Cycle sensitivity | High (sharp both up and down) | Relatively diversified |
| Best for | Concentrated bet on the cycle turning up | Investors wanting diversified volatility |
But something is still missing
The real choice is simple: DRAM buys you the makers; HBMX buys you a blend of the whole stack.
But honestly, the pure picks-and-shovels layer — the 10 core suppliers made up only of equipment, inspection, testers, bonders, and materials — isn't packaged completely by any ETF yet. HBMX reaches partway down that direction, but with makers mixed in, it isn't pure supply-chain exposure.
So here's my takeaway. If you want lower-maintenance exposure, DRAM or HBMX will do the job. But if you want to hold only the suppliers that get paid whoever wins, that's still a portfolio you have to build yourself. Neither is right or wrong — it comes down to which part of the cycle you want to bet on.
FAQ
Q: If I had to pick just one, DRAM or HBMX? A: If you want a direct, concentrated bet on the cycle turning up, DRAM's maker-only basket fits. If you want diversified exposure that includes the supply chain, HBMX fits. They aren't competitors; they cover different parts of the same machine.
Q: Is there a pure supply-chain ETF? A: Not currently — there's no pure picks-and-shovels ETF made only of equipment, inspection, testers, bonders, and materials. HBMX reaches partway down, but with makers mixed in, so pure supply-chain exposure means building it with individual names.
More in this Category
Sales Exploding, Stock Stuck: The Complete Nvidia Bull vs Bear Case
Sales Exploding, Stock Stuck: The Complete Nvidia Bull vs Bear Case
Nvidia's revenue rocketed from $16B in 2021 to $253B in under five years, yet the stock has trailed AMD and Micron. Here's my read on Jensen Huang's 'parabolic demand' claim, the three bull cases, and the three bear cases.
Nvidia's Valuation: What's a Fair Price to Pay Right Now
Nvidia's Valuation: What's a Fair Price to Pay Right Now
A $5 trillion market cap, a 19.6x price-to-sales ratio, and a 63% one-year net margin. Running a conservative 10-year model (10-25% revenue growth, 35-55% margins), I get a mid fair value of $250 at a 9% required return, and $154 at my personal 15%.
Getting Paid to Hold Nvidia: Understanding the Covered Call
Getting Paid to Hold Nvidia: Understanding the Covered Call
If you're torn between selling Nvidia and holding it, a covered call can be the answer. Selling a Sept 18 $250 call pays about $3.37 per share (roughly 8.8% annualized); a $220 call pays $10.39 (about 27%). Here's how it works and where it bites.
Next Posts
Why 7 of Bank of America's 10 Bear-Market Signposts Are Flashing Red
Why 7 of Bank of America's 10 Bear-Market Signposts Are Flashing Red
Seven of BofA's 10 bear-market signposts have lit up, the market is expensive on 17 of 20 yardsticks, and on 8 of them stocks are pricier than the 2000 dot-com bubble. The red light I care about most, though, is a different one.
Recession Odds at 40%: The Three Reasons One Economist Is Worried
Recession Odds at 40%: The Three Reasons One Economist Is Worried
Moody's Mark Zandi puts the odds of a recession in the next year at 40% — versus a typical 15%. Flat real incomes, an oil shock via the Strait of Hormuz, and a boxed-in Fed are the three reasons, and you can feel all of them in your own wallet.
The Buffett Indicator Is at a 50-Year High — Yet Buffett Himself Is Buying
The Buffett Indicator Is at a 50-Year High — Yet Buffett Himself Is Buying
A gauge Buffett once called the 'single best measure' of valuation just hit its highest since 1970 — over 2x GDP. Yet Berkshire put $10 billion into Alphabet. The key to that contradiction is principled investing.
Previous Posts
SpaceX IPO at 94x Sales? Here's Why I'm Sitting This One Out
SpaceX IPO at 94x Sales? Here's Why I'm Sitting This One Out
SpaceX goes public June 12 at around $135 a share, targeting a $1.75-$2 trillion valuation on just $18 billion in revenue. That single number — a 94x price-to-sales ratio — is why I'm not touching this IPO.
While Bitcoin Was Crashing, Wall Street Quietly Made Its Move
While Bitcoin Was Crashing, Wall Street Quietly Made Its Move
Bitcoin has fallen into the $60,000 range. The surface reason is MicroStrategy's $2.5 billion sale, but the bigger story is JP Morgan, Citi, and Bank of America launching a shared tokenized deposit network targeted for the first half of 2027.
The Market Is Starting to Crack: Three Signals to Watch in June
The Market Is Starting to Crack: Three Signals to Watch in June
May payrolls came in at 172,000 versus expectations near 85,000, cooling rate-cut hopes. A warning from the bond market, profit-taking in AI stocks, and three dates — June 10, 17, and 27 — will set the market's direction for the summer.