4 Reasons Why AI-Battered Software Stocks Are a Buy Right Now
4 Reasons Why AI-Battered Software Stocks Are a Buy Right Now
TL;DR AI replacement fears have hammered software, consulting, and cybersecurity stocks by 25–52%. But a study tracking 164,000 workers tells the opposite story: post-AI adoption, work volume actually increased 94%. These companies are still growing double digits — and their valuations just hit bargain territory.
A study tracking 164,000 workers over 180 days just dropped its findings.
The verdict? AI isn't replacing jobs — it's creating more work. Deep focus time dropped 9%, but time spent on emails, apps, and business tools surged 94%. Every hour AI saved got immediately redeployed into other tasks.
Yet the market has been in full panic mode. Salesforce down 25%. Accenture down 24%. Zscaler down 52%. Hundreds of billions in market cap evaporated this year on AI fear alone.
In my assessment, this is an overreaction. And overreactions create opportunities.
1. Salesforce (CRM): An AI Beneficiary Trading at 15x Earnings
Salesforce is down 25% this year, but the fundamentals haven't changed.
Over 50 trillion records managed across thousands of corporate systems built over more than a decade. You don't just switch that off because of AI headlines. In fact, Salesforce's own AI product, Agent Force, saw a 300% increase in agent tasks performed by clients in the past year.
Key numbers:
- Expected revenue this year: $50 billion (double-digit growth)
- Current P/E ratio: 15x
- Actively ramping share buybacks
This stock traded at 56x earnings just last January. At 15x now, even a re-rating to 30x implies a $400 share price. The market isn't overvaluing this — it's undervaluing it.
2. Accenture (ACN): The Consulting Doom Narrative Has a Flaw
The "AI will replace consultants" thesis has dragged this stock down 49% from its peak.
But here's what's actually happening:
- McKinsey survey: Two-thirds of companies haven't even started scaling AI
- PwC survey: Half of employers have seen zero financial benefit from AI yet
- AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are now paying consulting firms to help enterprises implement their products
Accenture's new AI bookings last quarter: $2.2 billion — up 22% from the prior quarter.
Earnings report comes Thursday. Street expects 7% revenue growth and $2.85 EPS. This company consistently beats. At just 14x forward earnings, a return to 20x P/E means a 37% gain to $276 per share.
3. Zscaler (ZS): The Cybersecurity Paradox
Cybersecurity stocks have been in freefall since November. CrowdStrike down 17%. Palo Alto Networks down 23%. Zscaler down 52% in four months.
The trigger was Anthropic releasing a model that could scan code for bugs. But here's the irony nobody's pricing in.
While everyone fears AI replacing security companies, AI is simultaneously expanding the attack surface for hackers and driving an explosion in AI-generated attacks. One software provider had to shut down its bug bounty program because AI was hallucinating bugs that didn't exist.
No enterprise is going to hand the keys to its most critical security infrastructure to AI alone.
Zscaler numbers:
- Revenue growth: 20%+ this year (approaching $4 billion)
- EPS: $4 (strong double-digit growth)
- Current P/E: 38x (down from 90x last October)
38x isn't cheap in absolute terms. But against 20% growth and compared to the 90x it traded at months ago, this is a compelling entry point.
4. One to Watch Out For: Workday (WDAY)
Not every beaten-down stock deserves your money.
Workday is down 42% over the past year, but it faces a different risk profile than the others. Its core products automate HR and payroll processes — tasks that are more routine and standardized than other enterprise software functions. AI could start meaningfully cannibalizing this revenue sooner than elsewhere.
Don't let fear drive your decisions, but do evaluate each company's specific risk profile individually.
In 25 years of investing, one lesson stands out: the market takes every narrative to the extreme. Euphoria or despair, there's no middle ground.
Will AI eventually take a meaningful bite out of cybersecurity, consulting, and software revenues? Possibly. But that's years away at minimum. Right now, these stocks have sold off into strong value territory, and investors willing to go against the crowd stand to do very well.
More in this Category
AI Infrastructure Investment Traps and a Bottleneck Evaluation Framework
AI Infrastructure Investment Traps and a Bottleneck Evaluation Framework
Two traps dominate AI infrastructure investing: the 'every AI company wins' fantasy and the 'next Nvidia' scavenger hunt. Four questions — which bottleneck is controlled, replaceability, essentiality, and pricing power — can fundamentally improve AI investment decisions.
HBM, Foundry, and Power — The Three Most Proven AI Bottlenecks
HBM, Foundry, and Power — The Three Most Proven AI Bottlenecks
The three most proven AI bottlenecks are leading-edge foundry (TSMC with 90%+ share), HBM memory (only 3 producers worldwide), and power/cooling (physics can't be patched with software). These layers share physical constraints, limited alternatives, and prohibitive switching costs.
The 6 AI Chokepoints — A Real Investment Map Beyond GPUs
The 6 AI Chokepoints — A Real Investment Map Beyond GPUs
AI investing is a six-layer bottleneck story, not a GPU story. Foundry (TSMC), HBM (Micron), and power/cooling (Vertiv) are Tier 1 bottlenecks — the companies controlling the most irreplaceable layers are the real winners.
Next Posts
Iran Tensions, Oil Above $100 — What Investors Should Actually Focus On
Iran Tensions, Oil Above $100 — What Investors Should Actually Focus On
Oil has surged above $102 per barrel amid Iran-US tensions and Strait of Hormuz fears, but long-term investors should focus on their holdings' future cash flows rather than react to geopolitical headlines that may resolve in weeks.
Trading Oil Futures: Where Macro Catalysts Meet Technical Momentum
Trading Oil Futures: Where Macro Catalysts Meet Technical Momentum
The highest-probability oil trade happens when macro catalysts and technical momentum align in the same direction. March 2026's oil market is creating exactly that environment for both longs and shorts.
What Short Seller Reports Won't Tell You — And Why It Matters
What Short Seller Reports Won't Tell You — And Why It Matters
Short seller reports have a structural incentive to present worst-case interpretations. A 5-step practical checklist helps investors avoid panic selling and restore the missing context that reveals actual risk levels.
Previous Posts
SoFi Short Report Breakdown: Are Muddy Waters' Claims Legitimate?
SoFi Short Report Breakdown: Are Muddy Waters' Claims Legitimate?
Muddy Waters alleges $312M hidden debt, doubled charge-off rates, and $950M asset overstatement at SoFi. As a chartered bank with OCC oversight, Big Four audits, and 9 consecutive profitable quarters, SoFi faces structural barriers to the Enron-level fraud alleged.
Why Gold and Silver Are Crashing Despite Geopolitical Chaos
Why Gold and Silver Are Crashing Despite Geopolitical Chaos
Silver crashed 41% in two days and is now 46% below its highs. Despite escalating Middle East tensions, precious metals are falling because a strong dollar and rising yields are overpowering safe-haven demand. The 200-day moving average could present a long-term buying opportunity.
Is a Stock-Only Portfolio Enough? The Real Answer to Diversification
Is a Stock-Only Portfolio Enough? The Real Answer to Diversification
Portfolio diversification means expanding across asset classes, not just sectors. A structure of 20–30% balanced advantage funds, 5–10% gold, 10–20% global funds, 15–25% small/mid-caps, and 20–30% direct stocks provides both downside protection and long-term growth potential.