My Magnificent 7: Why Smart Investors Choose Value Over Hype
đ¯ Why I Challenged the Magnificent 7
Everyone talks about the Magnificent 7 â Meta, Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, and Tesla. These market giants have powered much of the S&P 500's gains over recent years. They're the ultimate darlings of the stock market.
But here's the thing: 12 months ago, I made a bold move. I built my own version of the Magnificent 7. Seven stocks I believed would outperform the real Magnificent 7 over the long term. Not because of hype, but because of fundamentals and valuation.
đĄ Core Investment Philosophy: Price vs Value
Let me share the most important principle of investing:
"A great story can become a bad investment if you pay the wrong price."
Think about it this way. A smartphone worth $1,000:
- Buy it for $300? You'll do great! đ
- Pay $2,000 for it? Bad deal. đ
Companies work the same way. Even amazing businesses become poor investments when you overpay. Conversely, buying great companies at fair prices sets you up for excellent returns.
đ Analyzing the Real Magnificent 7
I ran all seven companies through our stock analyzer tool using reasonable assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins. The expected 10-year returns didn't impress me:
| Company | Expected 10-Year Return |
|---|---|
| Meta | 11.5% (Best) |
| Above average | |
| Amazon | Above average |
| Microsoft | Average |
| Nvidia | Average |
| Apple | Below average |
| Tesla | Negative |
Yes, you read that right. Based on my assumptions, Tesla's stock could be lower 10-15 years from now than it is today. Bold statement? Absolutely. But the fundamentals support it.
đ Quarter-by-Quarter 2025 Performance
đš Q1: I Was Winning!
Markets started falling. And when stocks drop, the overvalued ones fall hardest.
- Real Magnificent 7: -15% đ
- My Magnificent 7: +1% đ
I was shocked. At one point, I was up over 8%. I didn't expect to beat them in the short run.
đš Q2: The Rebound Begins
The market bottomed on April 8th and started rocketing higher.
- Real Magnificent 7: +19% đ
- My Magnificent 7: +5.6% đ
Big difference, but I was fine with it. When markets surge, overvalued stocks typically lead the charge.
đš Q3: Magnificent 7 Keeps Running
- Real Magnificent 7: +18% đ
- My Magnificent 7: +2% đ
đš Q4: A Correction
- Real Magnificent 7: +4.7% đ
- My Magnificent 7: -5.3% đ
đ 2025 Full Year Results
| Portfolio | Annual Return |
|---|---|
| Real Magnificent 7 | +25% |
| My Magnificent 7 | +6% |
"You lost!" you might say. And yes, for one year, I did.
But here's the key insight:
- From January to August, I was winning
- The massive market rebound after August reversed my lead
đ§ Why I Have Zero FOMO
I'll be honest with you: I'm not worried at all.
Here's why:
"In the short run, the stock market is a voting machine. In the long run, it's a weighing machine."
What does this mean?
- Short term: What's popular goes up; what's not goes down
- Long term: Business fundamentals determine true value
Right now, the Magnificent 7 is ahead because of popularity. But in 5-10 years, fundamentals will decide the winner.
đ° My Magnificent 7 Portfolio
Here are my seven picks:
- Ulta Beauty - Dominates the resilient beauty sector
- Southwest Airlines - 47 consecutive years of pre-COVID profitability
- PayPal - Undervalued fintech cash machine
- Alibaba - China's growth beneficiary
- Adobe - 90% gross margins, incredible cash generation
- Nike - World's most recognizable brand
- Sprouts Farmers Market - Health food market leader
Interesting fact: I still own 6 of these 7 stocks. The seventh was called away through covered calls â and has since dropped over 50%. Lucky timing!
đ Key Lessons for Investors
-
Focus on value, not price movements - A 40% stock price increase doesn't mean fundamentals improved 40%
-
Ignore short-term noise - One year means nothing in investing
-
Beware of FOMO - Don't buy just because everyone else is
-
Practice patience - Long-term investing is a marathon
đŽ Looking Ahead to 2026 and Beyond
I'm willing to bet that my stocks will vastly outperform the Magnificent 7 over the next 4-5 years, even 10 years.
Why? Because the market will eventually shift from voting machine to weighing machine. Fundamentals always win in the end.
Follow along as I provide quarterly updates. Investing isn't about guessing one week, month, quarter, or year. It's about consistency.
Happy investing! đ